Daily Poll Watch: My favorite analyst says likelihood of Obama winning ranges from 89 to 97 percent - Akron, OH - The Suburbanite

Daily Poll Watch: My favorite analyst says likelihood of Obama winning ranges from 89 to 97 percent

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By Pat Cunningham

On several occasions in recent days, I’ve argued here that the best way to track the presidential race at this late stage is to pay more attention to polls in the individual states — especially the so-called battleground states — than to national polls.

And the best way to follow state polls is to read the analyses offered by Sam Wang at the Princeton Election Consortium and Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight. Their methods differ somewhat, but they’re both good at cutting through the mainstream media nonsense peddled by journalists who don’t understand polling trends and how they relate to the Electoral College....

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